February 23, 2016
Before we begin, the latest poll numbers:
Nevada: Trump +16
Nevada: Trump +26
Nevada votes tomorrow and everyone believes it will be a Trump blowout and likely his largest victory yet.
Here are the latest polls from the Super Tuesday states which are voting next week:
Georgia: Trump +9
Massachusetts: Trump +34
Further down the road:
North Carolina: Trump +18
North Carolina: Trump +9
Michigan: Trump +18
Illinois: Trump +13
Of the Super Tuesday states, Massachusetts, Vermont, Tennessee and Alabama are all poised to go big for Trump. In Georgia, Trump has a lead similar to South Carolina. He leads by 6 in Virginia and 5 in Oklahoma. The last polls show Cruz holding onto a narrow lead by 5 in Texas and 5 in Arkansas. I saw on television that Trump has a narrow lead in Alaska and Colorado and Rubio has a 2 point lead in Minnesota.
Trump’s standing in the Super Tuesday states will become clear in polls which should be released over the next week. The meltdowns going on today among the #CruzCrew suggests internal polling has found the end is near for Cruz and may come next Tuesday.
Matt Walsh: Dear Trump Fans
David French: Trump, the Destroyer
George Will: Trump Is Wrecking The GOP
As things stand today, Trump is winning in Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi, Louisiana, Tennessee, West Virginia, Florida, North Carolina, and Missouri by a lot and has the edge in Virginia. Cruz has a narrow lead in Texas and Arkansas and might do well in Kentucky.
In the Northeast, Trump is headed for blowout wins in Massachusetts, Vermont, New York and New Jersey. In the Midwest, Trump is headed for blowout wins in Michigan and Illinois. Of all the polls I have seen, Rubio only has narrow leads in Minnesota and Utah.
If Cruz can’t win the South, he is done. End of story. Rubio might possibly eke out a narrow victory in Virginia, but where else does Rubio win in the South? How does Rubio go on after losing Florida by double digits on March 15? Can either Cruz or Rubio beat Trump in the Northeast? If Trump wins the South and Northeast, how does he lose?
And the West? Nevada votes tomorrow and there are more illegal aliens out there than anywhere else.