April 1, 2020
Oh come on.
The White House coronavirus task force on Tuesday pleaded with Americans to abide by the administration’s extended social distancing guidelines to slow the spread of coronavirus as a somber President Trump told Americans to brace for “a very painful two weeks” and warned of thousands of more virus-related deaths.
“The surge is coming, and it’s coming pretty strong,” the president said in the White House briefing room in a lengthy press conference that lasted more than two hours.
The extension of the social distancing guidelines comes after Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, and other public health officials on the White House coronavirus task force ominously warned that even if the U.S. were to continue to do what it was doing — keeping the economy closed and most Americans in their homes — the coronavirus could still leave 100,000 to 240,000 people in the United States dead and millions infected.
Without any measures in place to mitigate the contagion’s spread, those projections jump to between 1.5 and 2.2 million deaths from COVID-19.
“It is absolutely critical for the American people to follow the guidelines,” Trump said during the briefing. “It’s a matter of life and death.”
The new “30 Days to Slow the Spread” guidelines — unveiled at the press conference — are an extension of the strategy the White House implemented just over two weeks ago and include guidance on social distancing, working from home, washing hands frequently, and avoiding any unnecessary travel.
While Trump sought to reassure Americans that the country would ultimately get through the pandemic, he declined to sugarcoat the severity of the pandemic and said that the battle against the contagion will be worse in the upcoming weeks.
“This is going to be a rough two week period,” Trump said. “As a nation we’re going to have a really rough two weeks. Our strength will be tested and our endurance will be tried.”
At another point, Trump said: “This could be a hell of a bad two weeks. This is going to be a very bad two or maybe even three weeks. This is going to be three weeks like we’ve never seen before.”
Fauci and Dr. Deborah Birx the White House coronavirus response coordinator, said that the modeling of 100,000 to 240,000 deaths is still very possible, but Fauci said the federal government is working “very hard to bring that number down.” Birx added that the number of deaths could be blunted through proper medical care and social distancing.
The models predictions have the surge in deaths going into the summer.
“There’s no magic bullet, there’s no magic vaccine or therapy. It’s just behaviors,” Birx said, adding that it would be those behaviors that could change “the course of the viral pandemic.”
Man, she’s got the graph and everything…
I’m just going to say this right now: this isn’t happening.
There is no way.
They are already cataloging virtually every death as a Coronavirus death, given that the hospitals are full of Coronavirus now and so everyone who dies technically “dies with Coronavirus” (as opposed to dies of Coronavirus). But even with that insane mechanism of padding the numbers, I do not think it is possible that they are going to reach this level.
It is already April, as you may have noticed.
As the CDC informs us, most years February is the season peak for the flu, sometimes it’s March, but it is never April.
There are currently 188,639 people who have tested positive in the US and 4,059 deaths.
The rate of infection is going to start dropping rapidly as the weather breaks. And that would have happened with or without these bizarre home-prison measures.
The total tested might get up to 250,000-300,000 and another 25,000 to 30,000 might die.
There is absolutely zero chance that 150,000 people are going to die.
Of course, even if they did, and we added that to the 30,000 or so non-corona flu deaths, we would still be just over twice the deaths of the 2017-18 flu. In other words, well within the bounds of normal reality.
But there is virtually no chance we are going to make it past the 2017-18 flu. The death count for Corona is going to be significantly under 50,000, and with the 30,000 from non-Corona flu, we are not going to even come close to the 2018 number.
Trump probably knows this, but he also knows that people are really into this hysteria, so he is going along with it. Then when the numbers don’t reach anywhere close to these estimates, he is thinking he can talk about what a great job he did. Of course, by November, the hysteria will have subsided, and we will be dealing with the absolutely incomprehensible fallout from this.
Dumb, Fake Mortality Statistics
This is all a gigantic hoax.
There is not one single thing about it that is true, no matter how hard you search for some kernel of truth in this narrative.
A reader who still doesn’t get it wrote:
It’s a somethingburger. 10% mortality in Italy and Spain isn’t just the flu. Bear in mind that most people with the seasonal flu don’t receive treatment or diagnostics either, so the flu mortality is likewise overstated as it is with covid-19.
I won’t bear that in mind, because that is just more false information. It is viciously, stupidly false, in that it is actually the opposite of what is true.
Flu mortality rate is based on estimated infections, which is a math equation that they use to extrapolate the likely number of infected based on the data of random tests and the number of people who require treatment. So the .01% number for typical flu mortality takes into account both people who get sick but never seek treatment and completely asymptomatic people.
You can read about the details of the flu mortality estimate equation on the CDC website. (The same equation is used internationally, but the CDC does a better job of documenting and explaining it than European countries.)
I have researched this in detail and in fact, the flu mortality rate in America in 2017-18 may have been much higher than the CDC decided, because they relied pretty heavily on previous data to make the assumption that more people got it, which was why more people died.
In these pyramids, the estimated infections are the gray block:
And it is possible that the numbers of infected could have been closer to the infection rate in 2012-2017, thus giving a significantly higher mortality rate than the standard .01%.
Contrast to Coronavirus, where no one who isn’t at the hospital already is included in their kook statistics.
The same media that is hyping up this hysteria will actually admit that the statistics are a hoax.
There are also “hidden carriers,” making the fatality rate very hard to estimate. It’s reasonable to believe that Covid-19 is less lethal than the crude statistics suggest.
At the moment, Italy has about 12,500 counted deceased, out of slightly more than 105,000 confirmed infections. The fatality rate stands at 11.7%. By contrast, Germany’s number of deaths can still be counted in the hundreds, meaning its mortality rate is 1%. The global estimate from the World Health Organization is 3.4%, and even that is probably an exaggeration.
They admit it, but then they just keep shouting the hysterical numbers.
Again: there is no single part of this that is not a hoax. If you are looking for something that isn’t a hoax, you are going to be sadly disappointed.
Furthermore, the official flu statistics absolutely do record every single person who dies while infected from the flu as dying from the flu, even if the death is cancer or some other cause.
Meanwhile in Italy, close to 100% of people who die have a preexisting condition.
That means that people who die of anything, but test positive for Coronavirus, are being counted as dying of Coronavirus, which is helping lead to these completely insane numbers. Some of them may be dying of Coronavirus – or a different strand of the flu, while also being infected with Coronavirus – but some portion of the deaths are from other causes.
That is the entire story.
There is no secret truth.
It is just a completely stupid, surreal event that has destroyed the entire US economy by popping the bubble that kept everything going. And a whole helluva lot more than 150,000 to 240,000 people are going to die as a result of the decisions made by the government and media in responding to this manufactured crisis. I can tell you that.