October 27, 2018
Revolutions have always begun in the colonies.
When the American Revolution was over, the newly formed United States was a third world country. It was an exporter of raw resources, with no industrial base or infrastructure that could compare to Europe, which was then the center of the world.
It was a chaotic frontier, where people were desperate to survive, and willing to fight.
At the time, no one could have predicted that the new political order that arose there would itself soon colonize the powers that had opened up that frontier.
Such a revolution could not have taken place within Europe itself. Europe had an aristocracy with solid control of its old institutions, and they would not allow themselves to be washed away by some new thing.
New things can only be born in a no man’s land.
Brazil is no man’s land.
Brazil is one of the most violent countries in the world. One in four people live below the poverty line, on less than $5.50 a day. The government spends about one fifth of GDP on social programs, but this does not result in meaningful changes due to corruption and inefficiency.
People have nothing to lose, and so they’re willing to try something different.
The man who will likely be Brazil’s next Defense Minister greeted two reporters waiting outside the door, then politely sent them packing.
The patrician, gray-haired fellow was 70-year-old Augusto Heleno Ribeiro Pereira, a retired four-star Army general. The world may soon be hearing a lot more from him and a cadre of high-ranking ex-military brass now poised to help lead the world’s fourth-largest democracy. Their ascension has many here worried about a return to the days when the armed forces called the shots in Brazil.
Heleno is the dean of a small group of former generals behind the rise of presidential contender Jair Bolsonaro, who is predicted to win easily in this Sunday’s election over his leftist opponent Fernando Haddad. A combative far-right former Army captain, Bolsonaro has vowed to crack down on crime, end corruption and steam roll anything in his path.
Expert analysis suggests that the purges of criminals and corrupt officials will look something like this.
Most of Bolsonaro’s inner circle have retained close ties to Brazil’s current military leadership. For example, Antonio Hamilton Mourão, a four-star general who is serving as Bolsonaro’s vice presidential running mate, just retired from active duty in February.
High-ranking service members have largely steered clear of politics since Brazil’s 21-year dictatorship ended in 1985. But appalling levels of street crime and entrenched government graft have emboldened former military leaders to get involved in the electoral process. While some Brazilians are wary about what they see as encroachment by the military on sacred civilian space, others welcome the change.
“There is an awareness among the public that the military can put this house in order,” Heleno said earlier this year. “We are fully aware a coup is not the way forward. The path will be the next election.”
Yeah. I don’t like military governments that need coups.
I like military governments that can just get voted into power.
You know what I’m talking about.
Bolsonaro has served for nearly three decades in Congress with little distinction. Long dismissed as a gadfly, he has often praised the nation’s military regime, which took power in 1964 as part of a coup d’état that toppled a leftist government.
But explosive events in Brazil over the past five years paved the way for his rise.
In 2013, millions took to the streets in a series of largely spontaneous protests over high taxes, lousy services and the corrupt political class looming over it all.
A tumultuous presidential election the following year split the country. Leftist President Dilma Rousseff narrowly defeated a conservative challenger. Within two years she would be impeached and tossed from office for fudging public accounts. She and her supporters called it a coup. A massive graft investigation known as Operation Car Wash, meanwhile, ensnared scores of business leaders and politicians. A painful recession ravaged the economy.
Amidst the resulting chaos, Bolsonaro, not tarnished by corruption charges, saw an opening to position himself as a clean candidate who could govern Brazil with rigid discipline, according to members of the Brasilia Group.
Bolsonaro first reached out to retired four-star Army general Oswaldo Ferreira, the former commander of Brazil’s Army engineering corps. The two men trained together decades earlier at the Black Needles Military Academy, Brazil’s version of West Point.
Ferreira in turn recruited his military mentor Heleno, who in 2004 helped crush criminal gangs in Haiti as the first commander of a United Nations peacekeeping operation. Their network expanded from there.
Bolsonaro has advocated more freedom for police to gun down suspected criminals and wants the military to help wipe out drug gangs that control slums in Brazil’s largest cities.
Crooked politicians are in the crosshairs, too. Chagas said Bolsonaro, if elected, would deepen corruption investigations that uncovered a sprawling pay-to-play bribery scheme in the nation’s public works.
Wrong-doers “will pay for the damage they did to the nation,” he said.
Make them pay.
If we want Justice in this world, we must make it with our own hands.
It would take an act of God to keep Bolsonaro from winning on Sunday.
This is not a Trump situation, of one man dragging an entrenched and reluctant party behind him.
Bolsonaro has surrounded himself with generals – and Brazil is at war.
Once Bolsonaro wins, not even he will be able to stop this agenda.
There are no brakes on this train.
Brazilians do not care if Bolsonaro has said politically incorrect things about women, negroes and sodomites.
Even these people themselves do not care. Elections driven by fake outrage and minority identity politics are a first world luxury for pampered bourgeois urbanites who have no real problems to worry about.
Brazilians have real problems to worry about. These problems are not getting better, and they have no faith in the ability of current leadership to fix them.
Once women, negroes and sodomites are worrying about suffering physical violence or landing in poverty, they will immediately look for an authoritarian white male to fix their problems for them.
(Aspiring autocrats, take note.)
For Brazil, the return to military government will represent the solution to violence, poverty and corruption. This has always been the only path to govern these territories, given their material conditions and the people that are in them. Finally, they have decided to take it.
Good for them.
Argentina will likely follow suit when they have their elections in a year.
For the first world, though, this will mean something very different.
We have been envious, for some time, of the very effective methods of the Philippine and Chinese governments for dealing with drug trafficking, violent crime and foreign populations that specialize in those things.
We are tired of seeing our communities degenerated by these same influences, and we would like such effective solutions for our own people. However, it is mostly only young people on the Internet who are willing to discuss how these Asian solutions, or the fascist solution, could apply to our own place and time.
In a few days, we will not have to look so far abroad, or so far back into history, for examples of firm solutions to our present social decline.
Brazil, despite its out-of-control negro population, is a European colony. While the English colonies have reached parity with England, the Spanish and Portuguese territories are still, to this day, very much colonies. As such, they are still viable laboratories to express our political whims and necessities without the hindrance of strong institutions.
Just as the anti-monarchical idea of the post-revolution American constitutional republic came out of the French Revolution (which failed to establish representative government), the ideological basis to this upcoming military government is a manifestation of the rise of Nationalism throughout the West.
As was the case then, the full expression of this new (or resurgent) ideology has been hampered by the deep, institutional roots of American and European Democracy. The American Deep State and the European Union have placed limits on what Trump and Salvini can accomplish, for now.
Jair Messias Bolsonaro will be subject to no such limitations.
Once he takes power, he will be able to do what he wants to do.
He and his generals will most likely do what they say they will do.
The people of Europe and the United States will be watching and learning, as unapologetic Nationalism moves one step closer to the heart of the West.
This guy is an absolute madman.
Brazil is going to be epic… pic.twitter.com/kRyZ5PXp1K
— Vincent James (@RealVinceJames) October 22, 2018
Are you ready for the future?